If you look back on bubble-vintage tech literature (e.g.), they were very excited about the upcoming 4.7 GB capacity in optical media (which would be your standard DVD), and the promises to extend that to 70 GB this decade (which is approximately what you get out of your standard one-sided blu-ray disk). Big fucking deal. I fell into an interesting conversation yesterday about media formats and obsolescene. (These were old photographic film industry people, with a perspective on their former company's innovations and terminal flaws.) All this investment in optical disks—and the read/write technology is pretty impressive from a materials science geek's perspective—and pretty much no one was thinking about how boring old magnetic media would come along and totally kick their ass.
In terms of data density—how many ones or zeroes you can fit per unit area—a blu-ray gets about 12 GB per square inch. From your hard disk, you're getting 200. Today, a hundred-dollar external hard disk can store all of your music, and a dozen or two high definition movies in a device the size of a deck of cards. A DVR can store the week's worth of television programming that most people care about. It is expected that magnetic data storage will top out at a TB per square inch(!).
The fact that you can write, in controlled circumstances, 150 nm features in your cheap home drive boggles my mind. Just like records, they used to make and distribute music cds from master templates. With a stash of proprietary plates, injection mold the polycarbonate in custom machines, microscopic grooves and all, stamping them out like license plates, and then metallizing them, before packing and shipping out pallets of Better than Ezra's testament to the musical suckiness of the late 90s. (This is essentially what my dad has spent a lifetime doing in a plant that makes decorative plastic containers. Not at quite the same level of precision.) I don't really know if its cheaper to stamp out higher density optical disks than it is to thermally write them, and I don't know how they mass produce the ones you purchase from Best Buy, but you definitely can do it that way. People have imagined this kind of pattern transfer as the cheap way out of photolithography (which is also subject to diffraction limits) for electronics production for many years now (although of course you still need to make a master somehow), and claim resolutions below 10 nm. It is, in fact, on the official roadmap. Even now, a couple hundred nanometers in a production setting is pretty feasible.
They still make magnetic tape, and the market is data less-than-urgent data storage, such as nightly backups or the kind of stuff you back up or hold in a box for a half-century. The company I spoke to yesterday make optical tape, sort of a reel-to-reel DVD, which offers amazing storage ona bytes-per-dollar basis, and is intended for archival information. It doesn't sit completely well with me. It's probably better than magnetic tape, which is subject to activated bit-flipping with warmth and time, but on the other hand, I think of classic celluloid reels rotting in their cans, or of how Stevie B got deep and garbled at either end of the casette back in 1988 after a couple months of play.** Maybe lets etch it all in stone.
The musical revolutions of the living generations were pioneered by storage technology (and other technology miniaturization). We can trace our experience of music from records to tape to optical media to high denisty magnetic and dynamic memory. Records brought the concert to our living room, and Walkmen to our gym. God knows, enough low-value digital copy has been expended speculating on the low value of digital copying. What's it like when it's pure information, etceterblah. Making information storage and transfer cheap made content even cheaper, and for consumers, it's been pretty great. (Although I have read that the digitization rate of CDs is the bare minimum to fool the ear, just over 44 kHz. That was pretty goddamn lazy, and if I can't hear the difference, diligent audiophiles claim they can. One reason to cling to analog.)
And it's a funny thing. Consumers love storage capacity, so manufacturers like to sell it to them (free markets as actually working). On the other hand, content providers fucking hate the capacity to store and share fungible bits (free markets as they prefer to fail to work). Sometimes the conflict falls within the same entity. Apple has recently made the future clear, let's make the content user-independent. I say, fuck the cloud.
The whole move is to subscription-based media. That's what net neutrality is all about, and while I've never overestimated the democratizing ability of the internet, fair access to greater information has never been a bad thing. It's not so terrible in all the aspects--it would be nice to listen to your music library anywhere, and yeah, I've grown content accessing my email this way, and maybe I'd rather pay a little for the handful of shows I watch a week than let the networks rent my eyeballs to advertisers. But music hits me harder. Maybe it was all the arguments I remember from the Napster days. It's good to pay artists (although bundling album sales must have improve the sales of their deeper tracks), but the RIAA and the broadcasters are the essence of evil. They would like the control over content that used to bring predictable record sales. There's precious few movies I'd rather keep copies of, and normally renting a viewing isn't a biggie. Music though? It's good to borrow before owning, but it's too integral and too much a part of my life to be constantly on lease. I romance a body of music, I fall in love with it, marry it, and then slowly grow apart. Music is a commitment, for which the law only needs to be involved at critical stages. (Books are somewhere in between. I'd prefer to own them as a permanent record, for all sorts of reasons ranging from physical pleasure to the throwback notions of knowledge guarded.) Music needs to stay at home.
I don't know why DVR has to be a subscription service either,and I don't like it. It's a local disk, and I used to be able to program my VCR just fine. It pisses me off that an unnecessary transmission service gets disguised as content. It reminds me of when AT&T under their monopoly used to rent us telephones . When it gets down to it, these fuckers have a fine history of treating both ends of the transaction like shit, making a fortune off of limiting the flow. I have no burning desire to get yet another middleman skimming money from the daily interaction of me and my life. Or, for that matter, to obviate my stored media in a controlled fashion so that I can pay for a lifetime of upgrades and format changes. They've been trying to make music subscription based for years now, and I don't want to restore the greedy bastards to power.
* One year, a friend of mine gave me the gold CD edition of Rush's 2112 for Christmas, the idea being that the oxidative stability of gold will keep the integrity of the bits indefinitely. That's not quite one of the 15 personally influential albums that I would prefer not be admitted, but it's pretty close.
** There's the second-most embarrassing, and probably the first-most dorky, one of those, were I willing to be honest. For my 15th birthday, Mom and Dad got me a home weightlifting set that I set up in the basement, and that's what I worked out to for a few months. "Spring Love" spoke to me, man. Shut up.
[Also, the loudmouth thing again. Edits no doubt to follow.]
4 comments:
We have a rather large collection of movies on Video Disc.
As well as many operas.
But, hell, we still have a box of Betamax tapes in the attic.
(I'm printing this out for my husband, and I expect he will understand the vast majority of what you wrote)
Yeah, I was never much of an early adopter. Geekiness loses out to stinginess.
The gist is that the trend in storage capacity has been has been good for consumers by making information-based content cheap and easily copied, or so the story has gone (this I beefed up with more background than people probably wanted to read--the picture of the record grooves is only because they look cool), and the move to "services" (like your Tivo, or your new-n-improved Cloud-based iTunes) looks like an attempt of the big players to regain control of storage and distribution, and resume their preferred habit of extracting more money out of us.
Not sure how well that all came out in the post--I haven't been able to make myself go back and edit it.
don't forget flash memory. 32GB storage in something the size of an old school eraser. combine that with the insanely rapid rise of mobile devices and we're headed towards everyone having a computer (the likes of an iTouch or scaled down iPad ((wait, that is an iTouch))) strapped to their wrist. probabaly drawing power from smart fiber clothing with embedded electrical contacts and ink-based photovoltics.
Here's hoping.
I listened to a talk on injection molding today, reproduced features down to 100 nm in the right equipment, which is impressive to me, given that the idea of molding is so primitive.
Also a talk on ink-based photovoltaics, but that company has been marketing more than they've been reporting for years now. (Also, not hiring.) Very annoying.
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